📊 Quantamental Trading Approach

Quantamental is a new trading approach that combines quantitative and fundamental analyses to forecast future market conditions. Trading and data mining are expected to converge in the near future.

 

In general, forecasting is the process of predicting future market conditions based on past and present data, as well as the analysis of key trends. All forecasting methods can be divided into two broad categories:

(i) Quantitative methods, based on mathematical models, and

(ii) Qualitative methods, based on educated guessing.

 

(1) Quantitative Forecasting

Quantitative forecasting involves predicting future data based on past data. It requires historical numerical data and assumes that recognizable patterns in the data series will continue into the future. This method is more effective for short- to mid-term decision-making.

There are two main types of quantitative methods:

(i) time-series methods, which use simple historical trends and patterns in the data series to generate forecasts;

(ii) explanatory methods, which use additional data as inputs into the forecasting model and attempt to combine two or more variables.

Key quantitative forecasting approaches in finance include:

(1) Average Forecasting Approach: Assumes that future market data will equal the statistical mean of past data.

(2) Naive Forecasting Approach: Assumes the time series follows certain seasonality. This approach is useful for financial time series with complex patterns that are hard to recognize and predict. Naive forecasting is often used as a benchmark for comparing other models.

(3) Drift Forecasting Approach: A more advanced version of the Naive Approach, incorporating an increase or decrease over time, called a drift.

 

 

(2) Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysis is a method of valuing a financial instrument by examining and evaluating all relevant internal and external factors. These factors include financial, economic, social, political, strategic, and other quantitative and qualitative variables. The goal of fundamental analysis is to determine a 'fair value' that can be compared with the current market price.

Fundamental analysis uses a wide range of real data—such as macroeconomic indicators, industry analysis, balance sheets, earnings reports, and key data releases—to assess the value of a financial instrument.

While fundamental and quantitative analyses differ in core ways, they also share many similarities. For example, when evaluating shares, both methods consider market capitalization, sector classification, price/earnings ratio, and dividend policy. As a result, quantitative models can be used to optimize the outcomes of fundamental analysis.

 

(3) Combining Quantitative Forecasting and Fundamental Analysis (Quantamental Analysis)

The Quantamental method combines the computational power of algorithms with the human ability to adapt to new market conditions. Quantamental investors blend the focus on specific market strengths and weaknesses (fundamental analysis) with the large data sets and computational skills of the quantitative approach. This allows them to target any area of a broad market and effectively test their hypotheses.

Trading and data mining will share a common ground in the near future.

Quantamental's analysis advantages include:

-1- Combining computer power with native human abilities

-2- Adapting fast to any new market conditions (a common phenomenon in finance)

-3- Testing any fundamental hypothesis using long historical data series

-4- Being able to combine the short and mid-term skills of the quantitative method with the long-run horizon of the fundamental analysis

-5- Filtering and arranging any new recognizable pattern

-6- Taking advantage of the massive data available on the internet

-7- Achieving innovation, and at the same time, data optimization

-8- Differentiating results against other investors using common fundamental models

The Quantamental approach is becoming very popular based on today's availability of alternative data. Alternative data include data from social media and broader from our new cyber world.


 

StrategyQuant: Trading Strategy Building

StrategyQuantStrategyQuant users can create or access pre-built automated strategies to trade in any financial market (Forex, Equities, Metals, Soft Commodities, etc.). The only requirement for the trader is to select a market and a timeframe. StrategyQuant then begins generating automated strategies. The trader can choose the ones with the best performance and further test and optimize them against randomness.

□ StrategyQuant operates in four (4) modes: building, re-testing, improvement, and optimization

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□ 14-day trial (The StrategyQuant trial version is fully functional and it is not limited compared to the full package. The trial includes also data from EUR/USD, USD/CHF, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY).

 

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  • Random strategy generation (avoid curve fitting)
  • Advanced backtesting and optimization modules (External tick-data support)

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Quantamental Trading Approach

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